ESPN FPI’s Chances For FSU To Win ACC, Make Playoffs, and More

ESPN FPI recently released their new rankings to the college football world. The FPI, also known as the College Football Power Index, was first created in 2013 by ESPN “designed to measure team strength and project performance.” They had FSU ranked at #11 in the nation.

According to them, “each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams component. These ratings represent the number of points each unit is expected to contribute to the team’s net scoring margin on a neutral field against an average FBS opponent.”

The FPI has historically been met with a lot of anger and confusion as they do not understand what goes into making the rankings. With that being said, let’s take a deep dive into what they are projecting for the Noles

Projected Wins/Losses:

They project FSU to win 8.8 games and 3.6 losses. In my opinion I believe we will win at least 9 games if not 10 or 11. Our schedule is very promising with new conference games in SMU and Cal replacing harder teams like NC State.

Chance To Win Out:

ESPN gives us a 2.3% chance to go undefeated in the regular season which is ranked 11th. They also give us a 93.2% chance to win 6 games which is almost a guarantee.

Chance to Win Conference:

FSU has a 26.2 percent chance to win the ACC which is 7 percent more than the second team with the best odds which is Clemson who has a 19.3 percent chance.

Chance to Make Playoffs and Win National Championship:

The Noles have a 35.9% chance to make the playoffs which is a 12 team playoff now with the expansion. The winner of the ACC has an automatic bid to the playoffs. They have a 2.5% chance to win it all in the national championship which will be held in Atlanta, Georgia in the Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

Only time will tell if these predictions are correct or not. As of June 3rd 2024, we have 86 days until kickoff in Ireland. Stay tuned to Seminole Section for updates all offseason!

Cover Photo Credit: Seminoles Website